PROJECT CONCEPTION AND PROJECT FEASIBILITY
Broad Contents
Project Conception
Stages of Project Conception
What is Feasibility Assessment?
Types of Feasibility
Tangible and Intangible Benefits
8.1 Project Conception:
Conception of an Industrial Project is the initial step in the
process of defining the actual scope
of a project. Project conception generally starts with a
manifestation of a requirement or an
opportunity that will benefit the corporate interests, and
culminates when one or more
preliminary options have been formulated which will,
theoretically, satisfy the company’s
expectations as originally presented.
The process presented here although illustrated by an industrial
project has features directly
translatable to conceptual evolution in many diverse
applications. The fact that the project in
question has been deferred is not uncharacteristic of the fate
of many programs during the
conceptual phase.
8.2 Stages of Project Conception:
Initial conceptualization of a project has various degrees of
complexity, depending on the nature
of the specific project and the particular analysis and approval
procedures used by a company.
The company’s planning strategy may require formulations of
programs involving several
projects. Conception of the overall program should then precede
conception of the individual
specific projects.
The conceptual stage involves the following activities:
1. Definition of a requirement or an opportunity that commands
the interests of the company.
2. Formulation of a set of preliminary alternatives capable of
fulfilling the initial requirement.
3. Selection of alternative(s) that might satisfy the
requirements in terms and conditions
attractive to the company.
A brief description of each of these activities in a specific
situation and in an organized
environment follows:
1. Definition of the Requirement of Opportunity:
The continuity of efficient operations and the opening of the
new business areas are the
main drives for capital investments for industrial firms.
Investment opportunities are
detected through operational analysis of current performance and
by forecasts of the
most likely future scenarios.
Initially, the scope of any new investment is likely to be
vague. Subsequent definition
involves consideration of all available relevant facts, required
resource sand constraints
associated with the original idea.
2. Preliminary Formulation of the Alternatives:
Project conception continues with development of alternatives
capable of fulfilling the
expressed objectives. The preliminary formulation of
alternatives is important as it sets
the pace of the subsequent definition and elaboration of the
project scope. During this
phase, the company calls upon the experience and creativity of
its technicians, manager
and directors to generate an adequate group of alternatives to
fulfill the expressed need.
3. Initial Selection of Alternatives:
After the alternatives have been identified, comparative
analyses are made in order to
select the most beneficial and to reject the least attractive.
The selection process
employs a basic feasibility analysis of each alternative the
establishment of criteria that
will allow the identification of the most attractive options. At
this point, further
consideration of the rejected alternative is terminated along
with the need to prepare
elaborate definitions for them.
The cost, schedule, profitability, and other salient advantages
and disadvantages of each
of the selected alternatives are assessed in terms of order of
magnitude. Difference
among the options is sought still without establishing precise
project parameters.
8.3 Feasibility Analysis:
A feasibility study is an analytical tool used during the
project planning process, shows how a
business would operate under an explicitly stated set of
assumptions. These assumptions include
the technology used (the facilities, types of equipment,
manufacturing process, etc.) and the
financial aspects of the project (capital needs, volume, cost of
goods, wages etc.).
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8.4 What is Feasibility Assessment?
As the name implies, a feasibility study is an analysis of the
viability of an idea. The feasibility
study focuses on helping answer the essential question of
“should we proceed with the proposed
project idea?” All activities of the study are directed toward
helping answer this question.
Feasibility studies can be used in many ways but primarily focus
on proposed business ventures.
Farmers and others with a business idea should conduct a
feasibility study to determine the
viability of their idea before proceeding with the development
of the business. Determining
early on that a business idea will not work saves time, money
and heartache later.
A feasible business venture is one where the business will
generate adequate cash flow and
profits, withstand the risks it will encounter, remain viable in
the long-term and meet the goals
of the founders. The venture can be a new start-up business, the
purchase of an existing
business, an expansion of current business operations or a new
enterprise for an existing
business. Information file, a feasibility study outline is
provided to give guidance on how to
proceed with the study and what to include. Also, information
file, how to use and when to do a
feasibility study helps through the process and also to get the
most out of the study.
A feasibility study is only one step in the business idea
assessment and business development
process. Reviewing this process and reading the information
below will help put the role of the
feasibility study in perspective.
A feasibility study is usually conducted after producers have
discussed a series of business ideas
or scenarios. The feasibility study helps to “frame” and
“flesh-out” specific business
alternatives so they can be studied in-depth. During this
process the number of business
alternatives under consideration is usually quickly reduced.
During the feasibility process you may investigate a variety of
ways of organizing the business
and positioning your product in the marketplace. It is like an
exploratory journey and you may
take several paths before you reach your destination. Just
because the initial analysis is negative
does not mean that the proposal does not have merit if organized
in a different fashion or if
there are market conditions that need to change for the idea to
be viable. Sometimes limitations
or flaws in the proposal can be corrected.
A pre-feasibility study may be conducted first to help sort out
relevant alternatives. Before
proceeding with a full-blown feasibility study, you may want to
do some pre-feasibility analysis
of your own. If you find out early on that the proposed business
idea is not feasible, it will save
you time and money.
However, if the findings lead you to proceed with the
feasibility study, your work may have
resolved some basic issues. A consultant may help you with the
pre-feasibility study, but you
should be involved. This is an opportunity for you to understand
the issues of business
development.
A market assessment may be conducted to help determine the
viability of a proposed product in
the marketplace. The market assessment will help you identify
opportunities in a market or
market segment. If no opportunities are found, there may be no
reason to proceed with a
feasibility study. If opportunities are found, the market
assessment can give focus and direction
to the construction of business alternatives to investigate in
the feasibility study. A market
assessment will provide much of the information for the
marketing section of the feasibility
study.
The conclusions of the feasibility study should outline in depth
the various alternatives
examined and the implications and strengths and weaknesses of
each. The project leaders need
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to study the feasibility study and challenge its underlying
assumptions. This is the time to be
skeptical.
Do not expect one alternative to “jump off the page” as being
the best one. Feasibility studies do
not suddenly become positive or negative. As you accumulate
information and investigate
alternatives, neither a positive nor negative outcome may
emerge. The decision of whether to
proceed often is not clear-cut. Major stumbling blocks may
emerge that negate the project.
Sometimes these weaknesses can be overcome. Rarely does the
analysis come out
overwhelmingly positive. The study will help you assess the
tradeoff between the risks and
rewards of moving forward with the business project.
Remember, it is not the purpose of the feasibility study or the
role of the consultant to decide
whether or not to proceed with a business idea; it is the role
of the project leaders.
The go/no-go decision is one of the most critical in business
development. It is the point of no
return. Once you have definitely decided to pursue a business
venture, there is usually no
turning back. The feasibility study will be a major information
source in making this decision.
This indicates the importance of a properly developed
feasibility study.
A feasibility study is not a business plan. The separate roles
of the feasibility study and the
business plan are frequently misunderstood. The feasibility
study provides an investigating
function. It addresses the question of “Is this a viable
business venture?” The business plan
provides a planning function. The business plan outlines the
actions needed to take the proposal
from “idea” to “reality.”
The feasibility study outlines and analyzes several alternatives
or methods of achieving business
success. So, the feasibility study helps to narrow the scope of
the project to identify the best
business model. The business plan deals with only one
alternative or model. The feasibility
study helps to narrow the scope of the project to identify and
define two or three scenarios or
alternatives. The consultant conducting the feasibility study
may work with the group to identify
the “best” alternative for their situation. This becomes the
basis for the business plan.
The feasibility study is conducted before the business plan. A
business plan is prepared only
after the business venture has been deemed to be feasible. If a
proposed business venture is
considered to be feasible, then a business plan constructed that
provides a “roadmap” of how the
business will be created and developed. The business plan
provides the “blueprint” for project
implementation. If the venture is deemed not to be feasible,
efforts may be made to correct its
deficiencies, other alternatives may be explored, or the idea is
dropped.
Project leaders may find themselves under pressure to skip the
“feasibility analysis” step and go
directly to building a business. Individuals from within and
outside of the project may push to
skip this step.
Reasons given for not doing feasibility analysis include:
• We know it is
feasible. An existing business is already doing it.
• Why do another
feasibility study when one was done just a few years ago?
• Feasibility
studies are just a way for consultants to make money.
• The feasibility
analysis has already been done by the business that is going to sell us the
equipment.
• Why not just
hire a general manager who can do the study?
• Feasibility
studies are a waste of time. We need to buy the building, tie up the site and
bid
on the equipment.
The reasons given above should not dissuade you from conducting
a meaningful and accurate
feasibility study. Once decisions have been made about
proceeding with a proposed business,
they are often very difficult to change. You may need to live
with these decisions for a long
time.
From a financial perspective, project selection is basically a
two -part process. First, the
organization will conduct a feasibility study to determine
whether the project can
be done. The
second part is to perform a benefit-to-cost analysis to see
whether the company should
do it.
The purpose of the feasibility study is to validate that the
project meets feasibility of cost,
technological, safety, marketability, and ease of execution
requirements. It is possible for the
company to use outside consultants or Subject Matter Experts
(SMEs) to assist in both
feasibility studies and benefit-to-cost analyses. A project
manager may not be assigned until
after the feasibility study is completed.
As part of the feasibility process during project selection,
senior management often solicits
input from Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) and lower level
managers through rating models.
The rating models normally identify the business and/or
technical criteria against which the
ratings will be made. Once feasibility is determined, a
benefit-to-cost analysis is performed to
validate that the project will, if executed correctly, provide
the required financial and nonfinancial
benefits. Benefit-to-cost analyses require significantly more
information to be
scrutinized than is usually available during a feasibility
study. This can be an expensive
proposition.
8.5 Types of Feasibility:
Feasibility is of the following types:
1. Technical Feasibility:
This area reviews the engineering feasibility of the project,
including structural, civil
and other relevant engineering aspects necessitated by the
project design. The technical
capabilities of the personnel as well as the capability of the
projected technologies to be
used in the project are considered. In some instances,
particularly when projects are in
third world countries, technology transfer between geographical
areas and cultures
needs to be analyzed to understand productivity loss (or gain)
and other implications
due to differences in topography, geography, fuels availability,
infrastructure support
and other issues.
2. Managerial Feasibility:
Demonstrated management capability and availability, employee
involvement, and
commitment are key elements required to ascertain managerial
feasibility. This
addresses the management and organizational structure of the
project, ensuring that the
proponent’s structure is as described in the submittal and is
well suited to the type of
operation undertaken.
3. Economic Feasibility:
This involves the feasibility of the proposed project to
generate economic benefits. A
benefit-cost analysis (addressing a problem or need in the
manner proposed by the
project compared to other, the cost of other approaches to the
same or similar problem)
is required. A breakeven analysis when appropriate is also a
required aspect of
evaluating the economic feasibility of a project. (This
addresses fixed and variable costs
and utilization/sales forecasts). The tangible and intangible
aspects of a project should
be translated into economic terms to facilitate a consistent
basis for evaluation. Even
when a project is non-profit in nature, economic feasibility is
critical.
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4. Financial Feasibility:
Financial feasibility should be distinguished from economic
feasibility. Financial
feasibility involves the capability of the project organization
to raise the appropriate
funds needed to implement the proposed project. In many
instances, project
proponents choose to have additional investors or other sources
of funds for their
projects. In these cases, the feasibility, soundness, sources
and applications of these
project funds can be an obstacle. As appropriate, loan
availability, credit worthiness,
equity, and loan schedule still be reviewed as aspects of
financial feasibility analysis.
Also included in this area are the review of implications of
land purchases, leases and
other estates in land.
5. Cultural Feasibility:
Cultural feasibility deals with the compatibility of the
proposed project with the
cultural environment of the project. In labor-intensive
projects, planned functions must
be integrated with the local cultural practices and beliefs. For
example, religious beliefs
may influence what an individual is willing to do or not do.
6. Social Feasibility:
Social feasibility addresses the influences that a proposed
project may have on the
social system in the project environment. The ambient social
structure may be such that
certain categories of workers may be in short supply or
nonexistent. The effect of the
project on the social status of the project participants must be
assessed to ensure
compatibility. It should be recognized that workers in certain
industries may have
certain status symbols within the society.
7. Safety Feasibility:
Safety feasibility is another important aspect that should be
considered in project
planning. Safety feasibility refers to an analysis of whether
the project is capable of
being implemented and operated safely with minimal adverse
effects on the
environment. Unfortunately, environmental impact assessment is
often not adequately
addressed in complex projects.
8. Political Feasibility:
Political considerations often dictate directions for a proposed
project. This is
particularly true for large projects with significant visibility
that may have significant
government inputs and political implications. For example,
political necessity may be a
source of support for a project regardless of the project's
merits. On the other hand,
worthy projects may face insurmountable opposition simply
because of political factors.
Political feasibility analysis requires an evaluation of the
compatibility of project goals
with the prevailing goals of the political system.
9. Environmental Feasibility:
Often a killer of projects through long, drawn-out approval
processes and outright
active opposition by those claiming environmental concerns. This
is an aspect worthy
of real attention in the very early stages of a project. Concern
must be shown and
action must be taken to address any and all environmental
concerns raised or
anticipated. This component also addresses the ability of the
project to timely obtain
and at a reasonable cost, needed permits, licenses and
approvals.
10. Market Feasibility:
This area should not be confused with the Economic Feasibility.
The market needs
analysis to view the potential impacts of market demand,
competitive activities, etc. and
market share available. Possible competitive activities by
competitors, whether local,
regional, national or international, must also be analyzed for
early contingency funding
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and impacts on operating costs during the start-up, ramp-up, and
commercial start-up
phases of the project.
8.6 Tangible and Intangible Benefits:
Estimating benefits and costs in a timely manner is very
difficult. Benefits are often defined as:
• Tangible
benefits for which dollars may be reasonably quantified and measured.
• Intangible
benefits that may be quantified in units other than dollars or may be identified
and described subjectively.
Costs are significantly more difficult to quantify, at least in
a timely and inexpensive manner.
The minimum costs that must be determined are those that
specifically are used for comparison
to the benefits. These include:
• The current
operating costs or the cost of operating in today's circumstances.
• Future period
costs that are expected and can be planned for.
• Intangible
costs that may be difficult to quantify. These costs are often omitted if
quantification would contribute little to the decision-making
process.
There must be careful documentation of all known constraints and
assumptions that were made
in developing the costs and the benefits. Unrealistic or
unrecognized assumptions are often the
cause of unrealistic benefits. The go or no-go decision to
continue with a project could very
well rest upon the validity of the assumptions.
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